BRRRR investment analysis · Hard money loan request

232 Birch Street
Bangor, ME 04401

A tax-acquired, City of Bangor–owned 3-bed Colonial in an established in-town neighborhood. Buy for $60,000 cash and complete a $57,024 cosmetic-plus rehab and certificate-of-occupancy scope. Then rent it at about $1,900/mo, then refinance at 75% of a $222,000 appraisal. A retail sale is the fallback exit.

Borrower Jon Hyatt, Broker · eXp RealtyStrategy BRRRR (primary) · Fix & flip (fallback)October 29, 2026
Purchase (cash offer)$60,000List $69,900 · quitclaim
Rehab budget$57kIncl. 15% contingency + allowances
After-repair value$222kRange $215k–$228k · 5 true comps
Loan request$111,02494.9% LTC · 50.0% LTARV
Cash back at refi$56.7kvs $37.4k invested · $105k term sheet
01 · BRRRR verdict

Does the BRRRR work at $60,000? Yes, at $1,900 rent.

Buy at $60,000 and spend $57,024 on the rehab. That covers Jon's interior scope, certificate-of-occupancy items, a new roof and new vinyl siding (Renatus rates plus a Maine labor and area adjustment), 15% contingency, and allowances for heating baseboard and a flue liner. This uses the term sheet already in hand: $105,000 financed on about $128,000 of total cost (about $23,000 down), 13% interest-only, no prepayment penalty. With 8 months of interest and holding costs, the all-in cost is $142,385. A 75% refinance on a $222,000 appraisal is $166,500.

$142,385All-in cost64% of ARV
$166,50075% LTV refinance$24,115 above all-in
$19,285Pulled out beyond Jon's cashAll $37,385 returned, $0 left in
$1,795Rent needed for a 1.20 DSCRAt a 75% LTV refinance
David-style terms: $105k at 13% · $60k buy · $57k rehab75% refi · base
$1,900 · max refi
$179,000 refi
1.20 DSCR · 81% LTV
$156,000 refi
Cash-flow sizing
75% refi · downside
$1,650 rent
All-in cost (lender's $128k total cost + 8 mo interest at 13% + holding)$142,385$142,385$142,385$142,385
Refinance loan$166,500$179,000$156,000$166,500
Loan-to-value on $222k ARV75%81%70%75%
Refi loan minus all-in cost$24,115$36,615$13,615$24,115
Refi closing costs−$4,830−$5,080−$4,620−$4,830
Hard money payoff−$105,000−$105,000−$105,000−$105,000
Cash back to Jon at refi$56,670$68,920$46,380$56,670
Jon's cash in before refi$37,385$37,385$37,385$37,385
Cash left in the deal$0 (+$19,285 out)$0 (+$31,535 out)$0 (+$8,995 out)$0 (+$19,285 out)
PITI (P&I 30-yr 7.25% + $285 tax + $75 ins)$1,496$1,581$1,424$1,496
DSCR (rent ÷ PITI)1.271.201.331.10
Cash flow / mo after all reserves−$71−$156$1−$258
Cash flow / mo before maintenance & capex reserves$119$34$191−$93
Cash flow / mo before any reserves (vacancy, mgmt, maint., capex)$404$319$476$154
VerdictAt Jon's $1,900 rent, the BRRRR works on both capital and DSCR. A 75% refinance ($166,500) returns every dollar Jon puts in plus about $19.3k, at a DSCR of 1.27. Cash flow is about $404/mo before any reserves, $119/mo after vacancy and management, and −$71/mo after full maintenance and capex reserves, so it is roughly break-even on a fully reserved basis. The 75% LTV cap is the binding limit, not DSCR: at $1,900 a 1.20 DSCR would support about $179,000 (81% LTV), more than typical DSCR lenders allow. For positive cash flow after every reserve, a $156,000 refinance (DSCR 1.33) returns all of Jon's cash plus $8,995. Downside: if rent comes in at $1,650, DSCR drops to 1.10 at 75% LTV and a 1.20-compliant refi falls to about $148,500.
Purchase price test: what price still works?$105k term sheet
$57k rehab
Original 90/100 ask
$57k rehab
$105k term sheet
$47.5k Renatus-only rehab
Recover 100% of cash with a 75% LTV refinance ($166,500, DSCR 1.27 at $1,900; also the max 1.20-compliant refi)$79,300$82,100$88,800
Clean hold: 100% of cash back, DSCR ≥ 1.20 and $0+ cash flow after all reserves ($156,000 refinance)$69,000$72,700$78,500

The purchase price doesn't change DSCR, which depends on rent and the refinance amount. It only changes how much cash comes back out. On the $105k term sheet, $60,000 recovers all of Jon's cash at a 75% refinance, which clears 1.20 DSCR at $1,900 rent; that holds up to a purchase price of about $79,300. The fully clean hold needs about $69,000, or about $78,500 if the rehab comes in at Renatus rates (close to Jon's $45k estimate). The price test holds the $105k loan fixed and adjusts the down payment.

Assumptions: a 30-year DSCR loan at 7.25%. Refinance costs are 2% plus $1,500. Hard money is carried for 8 months at 13% interest-only on $105,000, and the lender's ~$128,000 total cost is assumed to include purchase, rehab, closing and lender fees. Taxes are $285/mo after reassessment at the new ARV and insurance is $900/yr. Reserves are 5% vacancy, 10% management (SI Associates), 5% maintenance and 5% capex, and the tenant pays utilities. At the Renatus-only $47,500 rehab (no Maine adjustment), a 75% refinance pulls out $28,809 beyond Jon's cash. Seasoning caveat: some DSCR lenders limit cash-out to cost basis until 12 months of seasoning. At 75% of the $117,024 purchase plus rehab ($87,768), that would barely cover the $105,000 payoff and return none of Jon's cash, so the refinance lender needs to use appraised value after 6 months.

02 · The ask

Financing: original request and term sheet in hand

Short-term purchase and rehab loan. The primary exit is a DSCR cash-out refinance after 6 months of seasoning, and a retail sale is the fallback. Leverage is modest against value: either loan is about half of the after-repair value or less.

Requested loan amount

$111,024
90% of purchase plus 100% of the $57,024 rehab budget, with the rehab funded through draws
Purchase funding (90% of $60,000)
$54,000
Rehab holdback, released in draws (incl. $8,500 of allowances)
$57,024
Loan-to-cost (purchase + rehab)
94.9%
Loan-to-ARV ($222,000)
50.0%
Loan-to-ARV, low case ($215,000)
51.6%
Modeled terms
12% interest-only · 2.5 pts
Requested term
9–12 months (8-month plan)
Borrower cash to close and carry
$23,467
Primary exit
DSCR refi, $156,000–$166,500
Secondary exit
Retail sale, about $222,000

Term sheet received · modeled as actual

$105,000
Financed on about $128,000 of total project cost, 13% interest-only, no prepayment penalty
Total project cost (lender's figure)
$128,000
Jon's down payment
$23,000
Loan-to-cost
82.0%
Loan-to-ARV ($222,000)
47.3%
Loan-to-ARV, low case ($215,000)
48.8%
Interest-only payment
$1,138/mo
Prepayment penalty
None
Jon's cash through refi (down + 8 mo interest + holding)
$37,385
Cash back at 75% refi ($166,500)
$56,670

Sources & uses through the 6-month rehab (original request)

Total project cost of $134,491 before the sale. The lender funds 83%; Jon funds the rest from his own cash.

Why the leverage is safe.The requested loan is $111,024 and the term sheet in hand is $105,000, against a $222,000 after-repair value supported by five adjusted comps. Even at $205,000, below every adjusted comp, the loans are at 54% and 51% of value. The real risks are title and the certificate-of-occupancy scope, not price. Section 09 lists the mitigants, and both are cleared before closing.
03 · The property

Subject property

Public record from the City of Bangor FY2027 tax card and assessing data, plus the public listing.

Address232 Birch St, Bangor, ME 04401 (Map-Lot 053-091)
Style / built1¾-story Colonial, built 1900
Size956 sf above grade · 3 bed / 1 full bath · 6 rooms
BasementFull basement on a brick/stone foundation, part finished. The assessor notes it as damp.
Lot0.12 acre (40 × 132 ft) · zone URD-1 · gravel drive for 1–4 cars
SystemsOil-fired hot-water baseboard heat · public water and sewer · no cooling
ExteriorWood frame, wood shingle siding, asphalt shingle roof, 168 sf deck
Assessment$143,300 (FY27: land $17,000 + building $126,300)
TaxesMill rate $17.13 → about $2,455/yr now. After the rehab, a reassessment at about 90% of the $222,000 ARV would be about $3,420/yr ($285/mo).
SellerCity of Bangor. Tax-acquired in Dec 2023 and sold by quitclaim deed.
StatusCondemned / placarded A new certificate of occupancy is required before anyone lives there.
$60,000Offer, cash27% of ARV · $63/sf
$69,900List priceListed Oct 23, 2026
$57,000City precedent240 Grove St, May 2026
$1,637Zillow rent estimateUnderwritten at $1,900 (Jon's rent; HUD FMR $2,133)
Why it's priced here.The public listing describes a "tax-acquired, condemned foreclosure property requiring significant repairs and rehabilitation." The city's last comparable sale, 240 Grove St (836 sf, 0.32 mi away), closed at $57,000 in May 2026. A $60,000 cash offer with no financing contingency is in line with that precedent.
04 · Comparable sales & ARV

After-repair value: $222,000

Only true comps. These are updated or renovated single-family homes of 800–1,100 sf with 2 bedrooms and 1–1.5 baths, built 1861–1946, all in the same in-town Tree Streets and Grove/Pearl area within 0.45 mi of the subject, and sold in the last 13 months. Each is adjusted to the subject: 3 bed, 1 bath, 956 sf, built 1900, 0.12 ac, after Jon's rehab (new roof, siding, floors, paint and trim; kitchen and bath not remodeled; oil heat).

$211,820–$227,550Adjusted comp range5 comps, after adjustments
$221,544Average adjusted valueMedian $222,200
$222,000ARV · $232/sfRounded from the adjusted average
$215k–$228kARV rangeTight: ±3% around the point value
CompDistanceSoldSale priceSq ftBd/Ba$/sfAdjustments to the subjectAdjusted value
172 Fern St
1½-story · built 1945 · 0.21 ac
0.06 miOct 2, 2025$215,0008222/1$262Time (sold 13 mo ago, +1%): +$2,150
Size: 134 sf smaller × $50: +$6,700
Bedrooms: 2 vs 3: +$5,000
Condition: updated kitchen vs subject's original: −$5,000
Lot: 0.21 ac vs 0.12 ac: −$3,000
Net +$5,850
$220,850
Why chosen Same Tree Streets blocks as the subject, about a block away. Renovated and updated small older home, very close in size.
246 Fern St
Ranch · built 1946 · 0.14 ac
0.17 miSep 19, 2025$212,0008822/1$240Time (sold 13 mo ago, +1%): +$2,120
Size: 74 sf smaller × $50: +$3,700
Bedrooms: 2 vs 3: +$5,000
Condition: updated kitchen: −$5,000
Heat pump (subject has oil only): −$3,000
One-level ranch premium: −$3,000
Net −$180
$211,820
Why chosen Tree Streets, 0.17 mi. Updated 1940s cottage: new flooring, updated kitchen, heat pump, new chimney. Similar size and price tier.
298 Fern St
Cape · built 1925 · 0.20 ac
0.29 miSep 30, 2026$229,9009832/1$234Size: 27 sf larger × $50: −$1,350
Bedrooms: 2 vs 3: +$5,000
Heat pump (subject has oil only): −$3,000
Lot: 0.20 ac vs 0.12 ac: −$3,000
Net −$2,350
$227,550
Why chosen Tree Streets, 0.29 mi, sold last month. Updated older Cape (heat pump, newer appliances, vinyl siding), within 3% of subject size.
342 Grove St
1½-story Colonial · built 1900 · 0.06 ac
0.45 miJul 31, 2026$215,0009102/1$236Size: 46 sf smaller × $50: +$2,300
Bedrooms: 2 vs 3: +$5,000
Heat pumps + newer furnace: −$4,000
Condition: subject gets new roof, floors, paint, trim: +$5,000
Lot: 0.06 ac vs 0.12 ac: +$2,000
Net +$10,300
$225,300
Why chosen Same era (1900) and style, in-town URD-1 zoning, 0.45 mi. Maintained and updated mechanicals (heat pumps, newer furnace, vinyl siding) but not a full cosmetic renovation.
70 Pearl St
1½-story Colonial · built 1861 · 0.08 ac
0.34 miSep 15, 2025$235,0001,0592/1.5$222Time (sold 13 mo ago, +1%): +$2,350
Size: 103 sf larger × $50: −$5,150
Bedrooms: 2 vs 3: +$5,000
Half bath: −$4,000
Condition: new kitchen + renovated bath: −$10,000
Heat pumps + direct-vent heater: −$3,000
Lot: 0.08 ac vs 0.12 ac: +$2,000
Net −$12,800
$222,200
Why chosen In-town, 0.34 mi, older home with an extensive renovation. It's the best 'fully renovated' bracket for the subject, adjusted down for its new kitchen, baths and heat pumps.

Sale price vs. adjusted value

Navy bars are actual sale prices and gold bars are the values adjusted to the subject. The dashed line marks the $222,000 ARV; the ARV range is $215k–$228k.

Adjustment basis

Size: $50/sf of above-grade difference, a marginal rate for small in-town homes, well below the average $/sf. Bedroom: $5,000 (every comp is 2 BR against the subject's 3). Half bath: −$4,000. A full kitchen and bath renovation is −$10,000 and an updated kitchen −$5,000, because Jon's scope leaves both original. Heat pumps: −$3,000 to −$4,000 (the subject keeps oil heat). Lot: −$3,000 at 0.20 ac or more, +$2,000 at 0.08 ac or less. One-level ranch: −$3,000. Time: +1% for sales more than 12 months old.

Considered and excluded

The house next door at 236 Birch is 37% larger. One nearby ranch, built 1950 with a full kitchen, bath, heat-pump and site renovation, sold well above this tier. Another renovated home has 2 full baths and about 1,200 sf. Several dated, unrenovated sales were excluded, and so were newer 1960s–70s ranches, distressed or city-owned sales, and multi-family. None of these met the size, bath, condition or era test.

Sources: City of Bangor assessing records, public property-transfer reports and public listing summaries, retrieved Oct 29, 2026. Distances are measured from the parcel centroids. The ARV assumes Jon's stated scope. Adding a kitchen and bath remodel supports about $240,000.

05 · Rehab budget

Line-item rehab: $57,024

Unit costs are Renatus IOS Repair Estimator defaults, and quantities are based on 956 sf above grade. Tier 1 is the interior scope Jon confirmed at his walkthrough today. Tier 2 covers the items the city typically requires before it will reissue a certificate of occupancy on a placarded house. Tier 3 is the new roof and new vinyl siding Jon asked for, with a clearly labeled Maine labor and area adjustment where Renatus's per-property-sf basis understates the work.

Line itemQtyUnitRenatus unit costTotal
Tier 1 · Jon's walkthrough scope
Baseboard trim, new (all rooms)400LF$3.16$1,264
Paint new baseboard trim400LF$1.90$760
Vinyl flooring throughout (main + finished bsmt)1,200SF$2.30$2,760
Interior paint throughout956SF$2.30$2,199
Extra wall prep (vacant/condemned walls)956SF$0.58$554
Basement stairs, complete replacement1EA$1,150$1,150
Chimney repair (brick/stone, lump sum)1LS$5,750$5,750
Tier 1 subtotal$14,437
Tier 2 · Likely certificate-of-occupancy items
Boiler / HVAC service (oil HW system)1EA$575$575
Electrical, basic + fixtures1LS$3,450$3,450
Plumbing, wet locations1LS$1,725$1,725
Drywall patches2EA$575$1,150
Dumpster, 40-yd1EA$575$575
Demo / debris haul (fill one 40-yd)1EA$575$575
Yard cleanup1LS$575$575
Permits, City of Bangor remodel1LS$1,725$1,725
Tier 2 subtotal$10,350
Tier 3 · New roof & new vinyl siding (Renatus IOS defaults, 956 property sf)
Roof rip & replace, architectural shingle (Renatus: per property sf)956Prop SF$4.60$4,398
Steep-pitch premium (1¾-story gable)956Prop SF$0.23$220
Fascia (eaves ~52 LF + rakes ~56 LF)110LF$3.45$380
Soffit (eaves + returns)60LF$4.60$276
Gutters & downspouts (Renatus flat, per property sf)956Prop SF$0.58$554
Siding demo: strip wood shingle siding956Prop SF$0.86$822
New vinyl siding956Prop SF$2.59$2,476
Tier 3 subtotal (Renatus)$9,126
Maine labor / area adjustment (roof ≈850 sf, siding wall area ≈1,550 sf)
Roof: Maine labor/area adj. (850 sf roof + 10% waste, ice & water shield; Bangor ≈$7.30/roof sf all-in → $6,200)1LS$1,583$1,583
Siding: area adj. (≈1,550 sf actual wall vs 956 property sf) × Renatus demo + vinyl $3.45594Wall SF$3.45$2,049
Siding: Maine labor adj. (house wrap, J-channel, window/door/corner trim)1,550Wall SF$3.00$4,650
Maine adjustment subtotal$8,282
Roof & siding all-in before contingency (Tier 3 + adjustment)$17,408
Tiers 1 + 2 + 3 + adjustment$42,195
Contingency, 15% (condemned property)15%of subtotaln/a$6,329
Core rehab incl. 15% contingency$48,524
Allowances · optional lines, drawn only if needed
Optional: replace hot-water heating baseboard (fin-tube, licensed plumber). Range $3,000–7,00060–90LF$35–75/LF$5,000
Optional: stainless chimney flue liner for the oil boiler. Range $2,500–4,5001EAn/a$3,500
Total rehab budget (financed)$57,024

Budget mix

Interior, CO items, exterior (Renatus), Maine adjustment, contingency, allowances

Budget notes"All new baseboard" is budgeted as baseboard trim, at Renatus rates. The financed budget also carries midpoint allowances for the heating baseboard ($5,000) and a flue liner ($3,500), in case the hot-water system is freeze-damaged after three-plus years vacant.

Roof and siding. Renatus prices both per property square foot (956). The roof footprint is about 850 sf, so the area is close, but Bangor installed pricing for a small, steep, architectural-shingle tear-off runs about $7.30 per roof sf, or about $6,200. That leaves a $1,583 labor adjustment. Siding wall area is about 1,550 sf, roughly 60% more than the 956 sf Renatus assumes, and Maine vinyl jobs run $6–13 per wall sf with house wrap and trim. The adjustments bring siding to about $9,998 (about $6.45/sf, the low end of the Maine range).

Check against Jon's estimate: Renatus rates alone total $47,500, close to Jon's estimate of about $45k. With the Maine adjustment, the budget is $57,024.

Chimney

Budgeted at the Renatus brick/stone lump sum of $5,750. Jon judged the masonry rough but manageable. An oil boiler needs a lined flue, so a $3,500 liner allowance is carried in the budget (range $2,500–4,500). Another option is a direct-vent boiler or heat pumps, which removes the chimney from the heating system.

Basement stairs

Complete replacement at $1,150. Code-compliant risers and treads, headroom and a handrail are included in the scope. The basement is noted as damp, so the stringer bearing and sill condition get checked during demo.

Not in the base scope

Kitchen (refinish cabinets and new counters, $7,475, plus appliances, $2,300) and the full bath ($6,325) total $16,100 before contingency. Adding them supports about $240,000 and would raise rent.

06 · BRRRR detail

BRRRR operations, DSCR and rent sensitivity

The buy and rehab are the same as the flip, on the $105k, 13% term sheet, carried for 8 months: 6 months of rehab plus about 2 months to lease up and refinance. Rent is $1,900/mo (Jon's figure; downside $1,650, HUD FY26 3BR Fair Market Rent $2,133), with the tenant paying heat, electric and utilities. Operating costs: taxes $285/mo after reassessment, insurance $900/yr, 5% vacancy, 5% maintenance, 5% capex and 10% management by SI Associates. The refinance is a 30-year DSCR loan at 7.25% against a $222,000 appraisal.

$142,385All-in costPurchase, rehab, closing, points, 8 mo interest, holding
$37,385Jon's cash inBefore the refinance
$56,670Cash back at 75% LTVAfter paying off the hard money
1.27DSCR at $1,900 and 75% LTVNeeds $1,795 rent to reach 1.20
Monthly operations at $1,900Amount
Gross rent$1,900
Vacancy, 5%−$95
Management, 10% (SI Associates)−$190
Maintenance reserve, 5%−$95
Capital expenditure reserve, 5%−$95
Property taxes (post-rehab reassessment)−$285
Landlord insurance, $900/yr−$75
Net operating income$1,065
P&I on $166,500 refi (30-yr, 7.25%)−$1,136
Cash flow after all reserves−$71
Cash flow before maintenance & capex reserves$119
Cash flow before any reserves$404

Rent drives the hold

Bars show monthly cash flow after all reserves at a 75% LTV refinance (navy) and at the $156,000 cash-flow sizing (gold). The line shows DSCR at 75% LTV.

DSCR at $1,900.A maximum 75% LTV refinance ($166,500) gives a DSCR of about 1.27, above the 1.20 most DSCR lenders want, with a PITI of $1,496. Cash flow is $404/mo before reserves and −$71/mo after full reserves. DSCR alone would support about $179,000 (81% LTV), so the 75% LTV cap is what limits the refinance. Rent only needs to hold above $1,795 to keep 1.20 at 75% LTV. At $1,650 the DSCR would drop to 1.10. A Section 8 tenant (HUD FY26 3BR FMR $2,133 gross) supports the $1,900 figure. A cash-flow-positive refinance of $156,000 (DSCR 1.33) returns all of Jon's cash plus $8,995. Oil heat is a lease-up headwind; a heat pump would help.

DSCR by rent and loan-to-value

Monthly rent60% LTV
$133,200 loan
65% LTV
$144,300 loan
70% LTV
$155,400 loan
75% LTV
$166,500 loan
$1,550 Low1.221.151.091.04
$1,650 Downside (Zillow est. $1,637)1.301.231.161.10
$1,800 Soft1.421.341.271.20
$1,900 Base (Jon's rent)1.501.411.341.27
$2,133 HUD FMR, gross1.681.591.501.43

DSCR = monthly rent ÷ PITI (30-year amortization at 7.25%, taxes $285, insurance $75). Green is 1.20 or higher, amber is 1.00–1.19 and red is below 1.00.

07 · Fallback exit · Fix & flip

If we sell instead: $73,765 net profit

This uses the term sheet in hand: $105,000 at 13% interest-only on about $128,000 of total cost (Jon puts about $23,000 down), with no prepayment penalty. Interest is charged on the full balance for all 6 months. Holding costs are $755/mo for taxes, vacant-property insurance and winter utilities. Jon lists the house himself, so the only commission modeled is 2.5% to the buyer's agent.

Flip pro forma · base caseAmount
Sale price (ARV)$222,000
Purchase price−$60,000
Rehab, incl. 15% contingency and allowances−$57,024
Closing, lender fees and other costs within the lender's $128,000 total cost−$10,976
Interest, 13% × 6 months on $105,000−$6,825
Holding costs, $755/mo × 6−$4,530
Buyer-agent commission, 2.5% (Jon lists the property himself)−$5,550
Seller closing costs and transfer tax, 1.5%−$3,330
Net profit$73,765
Total project cost$148,235
Jon's cash needed ($23,000 down + interest + holding)$34,355
Return on cash invested (6 months)215%
Return on total cost50%
Profit margin on sale price33%

Where the $222,000 sale goes

Costs, then profit

Scenarios

ScenarioARVRehabHoldCommissionLoanCash neededNet profitROI on cash
Stress low ARV, budget +20%, 8 months, full 5% commission (loan fixed at $105k)$215,000$68,4298 mo5.0%$105,000$49,545$46,48094%
Base financed rehab budget$222,000$57,0246 mo2.5%$105,000$34,355$73,765215%
Base, full commission if listed with an outside broker at 5%$222,000$57,0246 mo5.0%$105,000$34,355$68,215199%
High adds kitchen and bath (loan fixed at $105k)$240,000$75,5397 mo2.5%$105,000$54,762$70,638129%

The spread is wide because the market is pricing in the risks of a quitclaim deed and a condemned house. Under the original 90/100 request instead of the term sheet, base-case profit would be $78,629 on $23,467 of cash. Section 09 shows how those risks are cleared before any money is at risk.

08 · Sensitivity & maximum offer

Flip profit by ARV and rehab cost

Net flip profit assuming a 6-month hold on the $105k, 13% term sheet (loan held fixed, Jon funds the rest) and a 2.5% commission. The loan grows with the rehab budget. The base case is outlined in gold.

Sale price (ARV)$47,500
Renatus only, no Maine adj.
$57,024
Financed budget (base)
$68,429
Budget +20% overrun
$75,539
+ kitchen & bath
$205,000$66,969$57,445$46,040$38,930
$215,000$76,569$67,045$55,640$48,530
$222,000$83,289$73,765$62,360$55,250
$228,000$89,049$79,525$68,120$61,010
$240,000$100,569$91,045$79,640$72,530

Green is $80k+, light green $50–80k, amber $25–50k and red under $25k. Every cell in the grid is profitable, including a $205,000 sale with a $75,539 rehab.

70% rule: maximum allowable offer

Base · $222k ARV, $57k rehab$98,3760.70 × ARV − rehab
Stress · $215k ARV, $68.4k rehab$82,071Rehab budget +20%
Jon's offer$60,000$38,376 below the base MAO
Purchase plus rehab is only 53% of ARV.The 70% rule allows up to $98,376. The offer leaves $38,376 of cushion for title, code or market surprises.
09 · Risks & mitigants

What could go wrong, and how it is handled

This is a City of Bangor tax-acquired, placarded property sold by quitclaim deed. The main risks are legal and regulatory, so they are diligenced before closing.

Quitclaim deed / title insurability High · pre-closing

The city conveys by quitclaim, and under Maine law (36 MRSA §943-C, LD 101) a prior owner can challenge a tax-lien foreclosure for up to 5 years after it. The city acquired this property in December 2023.

Mitigant: the purchase is contingent on a title commitment that will issue owner's and lender's policies. The lender's policy is a closing condition, and the same title work supports the DSCR refinance. The city defends any challenge to its foreclosure.

Condemnation / certificate of occupancy High · scoped

The placard removed the certificate of occupancy, and a new one is required before the house can be occupied or rented. Plumbing and electrical permits must be pulled by licensed trades.

Mitigant: a Code Enforcement walk-through (207-992-4230) before closing, including confirming there is no red "X" structural placard. Tier 2 budgets $10,350 for CO items, and the 15% contingency sits on top of that.

Oil heat cost Medium

Maine heating oil averaged a record $6.04/gal on Oct 19, 2026. A 956 sf house built in 1900 with limited insulation may burn 500–700 gal/yr ($3,000–4,200), which affects both winter holding costs and how easy the house is to rent.

Mitigant: the holding budget includes winter heat. Air sealing or a heat-pump add-on improves both resale and rent, and the tenant pays heat.

Chimney & flue Medium

The masonry is rough, and an oil boiler needs a sound, lined flue.

Mitigant: $5,750 is budgeted, with a separately priced liner option of $2,500–4,500. A direct-vent boiler or heat pumps can take the chimney out of service entirely.

Hidden system damage Medium

The house has been vacant 3+ years: freeze damage to the hot-water heating system, plumbing or boiler is possible, and the basement is damp.

Mitigant: pressure-test the heating and plumbing before closing. The $5,000 heating baseboard allowance plus the 15% contingency covers it. A sale even with a 20% budget overrun still nets $46,480.

Roof & siding in winter Medium

A Maine winter limits exterior work. Stripping the original wood shingles can also expose sheathing rot on a house built in 1900.

Mitigant: the roof and siding are budgeted at $17,408 before contingency, including the Maine labor and area adjustment, and the 15% contingency covers sheathing repairs. The roof is done in the first dry window and the siding can wait until spring without holding up the interior or the certificate of occupancy.

Market / ARV Low

The $222,000 ARV comes only from five adjusted true comps, all within 0.45 mi in the same in-town neighborhood, with adjusted values of $211,820–$227,550. The term-sheet loan is 49% of the low-case ARV.

Mitigant: a 75% refinance needs only a $222,000 appraisal to return all of Jon's cash. A retail sale, which Jon lists himself, is the fallback.

10 · Timeline

Project timeline

Target dates assume the city accepts the offer in November.

1

Late Oct – Nov 2026 · Offer & acceptance

A $60,000 cash offer to the City of Bangor with no financing contingency, then city review and acceptance.

2

Nov 2026 · Due diligence

Title commitment for owner's and lender's policies, the Code Enforcement walk-through, heating and plumbing pressure tests, contractor bids and lender valuation.

3

Dec 2026 · Close and start

Fund $54,000 at closing, insure the house as vacant/builder's risk, keep the heat on, pull permits and set up the dumpster for demo.

4

Dec 2026 – Apr 2027 · Rehab (about 18–20 weeks)

Chimney, basement stairs, electrical and plumbing first, then drywall, paint, vinyl flooring and trim. The roof goes on in the first dry weather window; siding follows as weather allows, or in early spring. Draws come out of the $57,024 holdback.

5

Apr – May 2027 · Certificate of occupancy

Final inspections and a new certificate of occupancy from the city.

6

May – Jul 2027 · Lease up & refinance

BRRRR (primary): lease up through SI Associates (Section 8 preferred), then a DSCR cash-out refinance once 6 months of seasoning are reached, which repays the loan by month 8–9. Fallback: Jon lists at about $222,000 in the spring market.

11 · Sources & assumptions

Sources

All data is from public sources: City of Bangor records, public listing syndication and published market data.

Projections, not guarantees.This analysis is a broker's investment projection prepared for financing discussions. It is not an appraisal, and lenders should rely on their own valuation and title review. Rehab costs are estimates that will be confirmed by contractor bids and the city's Code Enforcement walk-through. Figures may change with diligence findings and market conditions.
Jon HyattREO certified
Borrower

Jon Hyatt, Broker · eXp Realty

A Bangor-based broker and active investor who does BRRRR projects and flips. I'm requesting a $111,024 purchase and rehab loan for 232 Birch St, a BRRRR with a DSCR refinance as the exit, and am ready to move quickly on terms, a draw schedule and an appraisal.